Impact of Military Expenditure on Economic Growth of Afghanistan
Main Article Content
Abstract
This empirical study estimates and considers the impact of military expenditure on economic growth of Afghanistan for the period of 2004-2018 by applying the VAR model and VAR Granger causality (1980). The model is run by having the dependent (predicted) variable of economic growth and independent variable of military spending and employment. Ultimately, this analysis revealed that arm expenses do not have a significant effect on the economic growth of Afghanistan for the 15 years period from 2004-2018. And after running the VAR Granger causality it revealed that if some policy changes accrue to the GDP or economic then it will cause the military expenditure (unidirectional causality) and policy changes to the military expenditure will not cause GDP. According to the joint test, it is seen that if some policy changes accrue to the employment and military expenditure so it will cause GDP, if some policy changes accrue to the employment and GDP so it will cause military expenditure.
Article Details
Issue
Section

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
References
Bremmer, D., & Kesselring, R. (2007). The impact of defense spending on GDP: The case of North America. Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology Working Paper.
Dunne, P., & Watson, D. (2000). Military expenditure and employment in South Africa. Defence and peace economics, 11(4), 587-596.
Gerace, M. P. (2002). US military expenditures and economic growth: some evidence from spectral methods. Defence and Peace Economics, 13(1), 1-11.
Huang, J. T., & Kao, A. P. (2005). Does defence spending matter to employment in Taiwan?. Defence and Peace Economics, 16(2), 101-115.
Hou, N., & Chen, B. (2013). Military expenditure and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from system GMM estimates. Defence and peace economics, 24(3), 183-193.
Khalid, M. A., & Razaq, M. A. J. A. (2015). The impact of military spending on economic growth: Evidence from the US economy. catalyst, 6(7).
Lobont, O. R., Glont, O. R., Badea, L., & Vatavu, S. (2019). Correlation of military expenditures and economic growth: lessons for Romania. Quality & Quantity, 53(6), 2957-2968.
Narayan, P. K., & Singh, B. (2007). Modelling the relationship between defense spending and economic growth for the Fiji Islands. Defence and peace economics, 18(4), 391-401.
Paul, S. (1996). Defense spending and unemployment rates: An empirical analysis for the OECD, Journal of Economic Studies, 23, 44-54.
Qiong, L., & Junhua, H. (2015). Military expenditure and unemployment in China. Procedia Economics and Finance, 30, 498-504.
Yildirim, J., & Sezgin, S. (2003). Military expenditure and employment in Turkey. Defence and Peace Economics, 14(2), 129-139.
Yilgör, M., Karagöl, E. T., & Saygili, Ç. A. (2014). Panel causality analysis between defence expenditure and economic growth in developed countries. Defence and Peace Economics, 25(2), 193-203.